Current Toncoin Rainbow Chart Zone
As of the latest update on 2026-04-26, Toncoin is trading in the Fire Sale band at about $1.30. This zone compares TON's current price with a long-term logarithmic trend and volatility-adjusted rainbow bands.
Market cap rank #23
Toncoin Rainbow Chart
Toncoin (TON) rainbow valuation bands using 1,418 daily observations.
Rank#23
SymbolTON
History1,418 days
Data Range2022-06-09 to 2026-04-26
Rank
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Toncoin Historical Context
This chart uses 1,418 daily observations from 2022-06-09 through 2026-04-26. Over that span, the fitted long-term trend is classified as upward, which helps frame whether recent prices are above or below the historical model path.
How to Read the Toncoin Rainbow Chart
The lower bands generally represent historically depressed prices, while the middle bands represent more neutral valuation zones. The upper bands represent periods where market sentiment has become more speculative relative to the fitted trend.
Is the Toncoin Rainbow Chart a Price Prediction?
No. The Toncoin rainbow chart is a visual valuation framework, not a guaranteed forecast. It should be read as historical context for TON, not as financial advice or a trading signal.
Limitations
Rainbow bands depend on historical data, the model fit, and the selected band width. New market regimes, liquidity changes, token supply changes, or short trading histories can make any valuation model less reliable.
Toncoin Rainbow Chart FAQ
What is the Toncoin rainbow chart?
The Toncoin rainbow chart compares TON's price history with long-term logarithmic valuation bands. It is designed to show broad valuation zones, not exact buy or sell points.
Is the Toncoin rainbow chart accurate?
It can be useful for historical context, but it is not a precise forecasting tool. The bands are based on past price behavior and can change as new market data is added.
What band is Toncoin in today?
Using chart data through 2026-04-26, Toncoin is currently in the Fire Sale band at about $1.30.
Can the Toncoin rainbow chart predict the next bull market?
No. The chart can visualize whether price is historically low, neutral, or stretched, but it cannot predict future cycles or guarantee market direction.
How often is this Toncoin chart updated?
The chart is refreshed when market data is updated. This page currently uses data through 2026-04-26.
Related Charts
Compare this model with other crypto rainbow charts.
Related chart categories
The levels describe how far the current price sits above or below the fitted long-term trend in volatility-adjusted log space. Lower bands indicate prices sitting well below trend, while higher bands indicate prices stretched above trend.
Fire Sale
Deeply below the fitted trend; historically the coldest
valuation zone.
Accumulate
Below trend with a wider margin of pessimism than normal.
Still Cheap
Modestly below trend; price remains on the discounted side of
the model.
Fair Value
Near the fitted trend; neither unusually cheap nor unusually
stretched.
Warm
Above trend, showing early momentum without reaching extreme
territory.
FOMO
Meaningfully above trend; optimism is becoming a major part of
the move.
Overheated
Far above trend; risk of a sharp mean-reversion move is
elevated.
Bubble
Extreme upside deviation from trend; the model's hottest
valuation zone.
These labels are descriptive model zones, not buy or sell signals. The rainbow width control changes how wide the zones are, so the same asset can move between levels as the width is adjusted.
Each coin uses daily USD prices from its first available
observation. The chart maps time and price through natural logs,
then fits a power-law trend:
ln(price) = a + b * ln(days_since_inception). In
regular price space that becomes price = e^a * days^b.
The rainbow bands are parallel curves around that fitted trend.
After fitting, cryptorainbowcharts.com computes each day's log
residual
ln(actual_price) - ln(model_price), measures its
standard deviation sigma, and draws bands at
model_price * e^(k * sigma * band_width) for several
k values below and above the trend.
A coin is highlighted as positive since inception when the fitted
exponent b is above zero and the fitted value at the
latest chart day is above the fitted value near inception. That is a
trend classification, not investment advice.
Toncoin rainbow chart methodology
Toncoin (TON) uses daily USD prices from 2022-06-09 through 2026-04-26. The model fits a power-law trend in log time and log price, then draws rainbow zones around that trend using volatility-adjusted residual bands.
Exploratory model output only. Not financial advice.
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